European Pitchbook PE breakdown 2024 Q2

Tracey Alper our consultant managing the role
The latest research from Pitchbook has found that in Q2, there was a rise in PE deal making in Europe by 27.3%, a significant recovery from previous low records. This improvement is in line with the European Central Bank's strategy of monetary easing and cutting rates.

Global markets have been on a positive streak since November 2023, indicating a potential upturn for LPs and private markets. Investors appear more confident as demonstrated through rising average and median deal sizes. There's notable outperformance in the cleantech sector, particularly in renewable energy, with large deals closed for Neoen, Terna Energy, and Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure, setting the stage for a record-breaking year.

PE deal activity by quarter

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Europe is set to benefit from an ECB rate cut

Q2 saw a resurgence in European private equity (PE) deals, growing by 27.3%. This follows a period of monetary easing in Europe, underscored by the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting interest rates by twenty-five basis points to 3.75% in June. This strategic shift is aimed at stimulating markets and company valuations after nearly two years of rate hikes. Importantly, this divergence in central bank policies could potentially make Europe more attractive for investors, bridging the gap with the US where interest rates remain uncut.

As of Q2's end, the S&P 500, STOXX Europe 600, and FTSE 100 Index rose by 15.1%, 7.1%, and 5.7% respectively. Despite traditionally lagging behind the US, Europe's improved macroeconomic indicators and the ECB pivot could bolster dealmaking. 

Deal size is rising again

As we enter 2024, PE deal values are significantly increasing. Median deal value has increased to €23.0 million, and the average deal value now stands at €229.8 million. This is indicative of a healthy economic climate with an increase in deal making activities. Most deals fall between €100 million and €500 million, accounting for approximately 42.6% of deal value. Interestingly, add-on deals are growing in popularity as part of buy-and-build strategies, often becoming the favoured deal type once the initial platform is acquired.

Megafunds drive strong fundraising 

According to Pitchbook, 2024 is set to be a record-breaking year for European PE fundraising,. Key megafund closures in Q2 have solidified this trend, with major players like Partners Group Direct Equity V, Bregal Unternehmerkapital, and EQT leading the charge. While each fund has its unique focus – ranging from midsize companies in software and healthcare to business services and industrial technology – all have capitalised on the industry's growth. Notably, EQT, while based in Europe, is eyeing investment opportunities in Asia, exemplifying the global reach of this European surge. This growth trend is emphasised by the enhanced fundraising for middle-market growth funds, which have outperformed expectations by raising double their initial targets.

Fundraising timelines increase 

Over the past two years, the fundraising landscape has been challenging for most managers, and particularly for first-time and smaller fund managers. Factors such as interest rate increases, falling stock markets, and lack of exits have all contributed to difficulties in capital raising. The average fundraising timeline has expanded significantly from 12.1 months in 2022 to 18.4 months by H1 2024, affecting almost all General Partners. However, as central banks gear towards monetary easing, Pitchbook is  predicting a potential easing of these fundraising bottlenecks heading into 2025.

Nordic fundraising remains sturdy

Strong fundraising momentum was observed in the Nordics, closing thirteen new funds year-to-date (YTD), on par with 2023, yet securing over six times more capital in 2024. Noteworthy achievements include Altor Equity Partners amassing €3.0 billion for its sixth fund, Axcel concluding its seventh fund at €1.3 billion, and Verdane accumulating €1.0 billion for its third fund. Contrarily, France & Benelux witnessed a downturn, with less than 12% of the capital raised compared to 2023 and only thirteen new funds in H1 2024, due to emerging political challenges.
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H2 fundraising pipeline 

The first quarter of 2024 experienced noticeably large fund closes, setting a high standard for the quarters to follow. However, with a considerable number of open funds predicted to close within the year, 2024 is poised to be a consecutive record-breaking year for capital raised in Europe. By the midpoint of the year, General Partners (GPs) had secured 75% of the prior year's capital. As economic conditions improve, it is expected that fundraising in Europe will continue to thrive in the latter half of 2024.

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09/09/24
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